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I'm trying to solve the following problem:

Minimize[{NProbability[(1 - 2 g)*y + g^.5 + s < 
x, {x, y} \[Distributed] UniformDistribution[{{0, 1}, {0, 1}}]], 0 < g < 1 && 0 < s < 1}, {g, s}]

This code gives an error message from NIntegrate (NIntegrate::izero)

Any ideas why the error message? How can I solve the problem? If I run a contour plot of the objective over the constrained area I get something that looks well behaved:

ContourPlot[NProbability[(1 - 2 g)*y + g^.5 + s < x, {x, y} \[Distributed] UniformDistribution[{{0, 1}, {0, 1}}]], {g, 0, 1}, {s, 0, 1}]

enter image description here

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1 Answer 1

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Using a transformed distribution solves the error message.

Define:

 Fz = TransformedDistribution[(1 -2g)*y + g^.5 + s - x, {y \[Distributed] UniformDistribution[], x \[Distributed] UniformDistribution[]}]

And use it with the Probability[] command:

Minimize[{Probability[z < 0, z \[Distributed] Fz],0 < g < 1 && 0 < s < 1}, {g, s}]

This yields the following output:

{0., {g -> 0.753979, s -> 0.979782}}
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