Questions tagged [probability-or-statistics]

Questions about systematic data collection and organization, or the application of probability theory to model the inherent patterns and properties of sampled data, underlying data distribution(s) or random processes.

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1answer
867 views

Problem with Covariance Matrix Output in NonlinearModelFit

I am running NonlinearModelFit based off of some simulated data and trying to fit to a function with more than one parameter. Eventually, I would like to fit to 5 ...
2
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0answers
54 views

How can I account for assumed X and Y errors when using findfit? [duplicate]

I'm using very noisy biological data, and I need to assume, when doing linear regression, that there are errors in both X and Y. ...
8
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2answers
536 views

DistributionFitTest with WeightedData?

My problem is related to statistical testing with weighted data. I have a data sample and I assume that a part of the data follows a specific distribution (Pareto). So I fit my data to a distribution ...
0
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1answer
127 views

Distance to a MultivariateStatistics median

I have a population of objects (each of which is described by a list of about a half-dozen real numbers), and I'd like to find some reasonable kind of distance between each of several different test ...
0
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2answers
2k views

How to generate a random data set with determined expected value and variance? [closed]

Recently I am doing my math homework and there is a question asking me to Come up with a dataset X that has at least 10 distinct numbers in it such that Expect[X] = 3.7, and Var[X] = 2.1. Actually I ...
5
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1answer
348 views

Numerical Integration with InverseErfc

I am trying to numerically integrate an equation that involves InverseErfc (embedded in the copula defined). The equation looks like the following: $$ \int_0^T \int_0^\infty \int_0^\infty e^{-Ab(s)x-...
1
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0answers
254 views

Simulations with MonteCarlo and Autoregressive methods

I am trying to find the best-fit trend for my data. Here I just generated it but let's say I don't know my data trend at all. ...
0
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1answer
271 views

How to simulate with a user specified bivariate continuous probability distribution [duplicate]

I am very new to Mathematica set up and I have the following question: I have a bivariate probability distribution which is a little complicated and of the form: $$f(x,y)=(a_0+a_1+a_2)\frac{a_1 a_2}{...
5
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1answer
2k views

Linear regression with x and y errors

I have a question about finding a linear regression weighted with x and y errors. I found the answer provided by 0x4A4D in Estimate error on slope of linear regression given data with associated ...
1
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0answers
85 views

Changing GeometricBrownianMotionProcess function

Since the function GeometricBrownianMotionProcess is given by Mathematica I have some technical questions. If we consider the following example: ...
14
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2answers
2k views

Mathematica code for hidden Markov models (HMM)

I am looking for some simple Mathematica code to model an HMM with just a few states and an equal number of observable signals (emissions). I am hoping to generate sample paths and keep track of the ...
11
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4answers
3k views

How can I compute and plot the 95% confidence bands for a fitted logistic regression model?

I have a set of binary data that I' d like to fit a logistic regression model to and show the 95% confidence band around the fitted function. I can produce the regression model but how do I compute ...
4
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3answers
975 views

Covariance of transformed random variables

I am trying to solve the following: $\begin{align*} &X \sim N(1,1)\\ &\mathrm{cov}(X, X^3) = \text{?} \end{align*}$ where $\mathrm{cov}$ is the covariance. How would you do this in ...
2
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2answers
226 views

Stochastic problem

I have to organize a small sports league and I am puzzled on how to create the game plan. We are 8 persons playing table soccer with 2 vs. 2 matches. The idea is that each person plays once with ...
16
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3answers
2k views

How can I calculate the correlation dimension and/or the Lyapunov exponent of a time series using Mathematica

I have a pretty long time series (4000 data points). How can I calculate the Correlation dimension and/or Lyapunov exponent for such data? Please also advise on how to import the data as well.
8
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1answer
281 views

CorrelationTest small bug?

Consider two Normally distributed random variables: x1 = RandomVariate[NormalDistribution[], {1000}]; x2 = RandomVariate[NormalDistribution[], {1000}]; I want to ...
23
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2answers
566 views

Unexpected behavior of confidence bands for data presenting two regions with uneven noise

Let's generate some noisy data with uneven noise. ...
4
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1answer
570 views

AR(1) Process first term

I'm trying to generate a very simple AR(1) Process with Mathematica using the ARProcess[] function. The process must have the following format: $Y_t = \alpha + \...
10
votes
3answers
970 views

The default bandwidth of the SmoothKernelDistribution function

I am researching the Silverman rule of thumb for bandwidth selection. Below is a sample of my code, from which it seems that BW=63 is close to the default parameter given by Mathematica (2 images are ...
1
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1answer
264 views

Safe values of $\mu$ and $\sigma$ when randomly sampling from a Log-Normal Distribution?

I believe I'm obtaining overflow errors when randomly sampling from a log-normal distribution with the command: RandomVariate[LogNormalDistribution[μ, σ], 1] ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

Computing Correlations and p-values

I have two vectors $A$ and $B$ of length (say) $50$ or so, and I want to determine whether there is any correlation between their entries. I computed their correlation directly and found it to be ...
2
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0answers
986 views

Calculate variance of random walk?

How can I symbolically calculate the variance of the following random walk in Mathematica? Given several discrete random variables such that $p(Z_i=1-2k)=p$, where $k$ is a small real number, and $p(...
1
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2answers
1k views

Probability density histogram with unequal bin widths

I am confused by output of Histogram and HistogramList for probability density ("PDF") when ...
3
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0answers
111 views

shortest paths in probabilistically weighted edges? [duplicate]

I understand Mathematica can find shortest paths. However, is it also able to find the most probable paths? I mean this is a case where edges are given probabilistic wights (from 0 to 1) and the most ...
0
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1answer
209 views

How to obtain an approximate function for SmoothHistogram3D?

I have a random distribution of points in the $x\!-\!y$ plane. I can obtain a graphical representation of the probability distribution function using ...
2
votes
1answer
231 views

Standard Deviation and StandardDeviationFilter

I found this scant description of StandardDeviationFilter in the documentation, implying one could use it to generate a moving standard deviation: I've got a need ...
4
votes
1answer
201 views

Combinations which do not have elements in common

I can choose 2 letters from the four letters $\{A,B,C,D\}$ in 6 combinations using the combination formula $$\frac{n!}{ r! (n-r)!}$$ ...
3
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0answers
993 views

Is it possible to marginalize one or several parameters obtained from fitting procedure?

Statistical model analysis package has a few fitting functions. Their arguments are data points, fitting model and parameters in the fit. The result is a set of best values for parameters, which ...
16
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3answers
948 views

Simulate a simple spinner

I'm teaching some simple ideas in probability to students in grade 7. The "spinner" below works, but I'm wondering how I could make it just a bit more realistic by having it actually "spin" around a ...
6
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1answer
1k views

How to get confidence bands of parameters from a fitting procedure?

I have done fitting of data points with a given model that has two parameters (A and B), using NonlinearModelFit. The result of the fit is the maximum of the ...
1
vote
2answers
316 views

build and estimate a time series process

I want to generate an EGARCH process. My problem is that I do not see how to create new processes beyond those available. The process itself is : $$\epsilon(t) = \sigma(t) \eta(t)$$ $$\log(\sigma(t)...
9
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1answer
9k views

How do I display a histogram with normalized counts?

I have some data corresponding to real number distances: {200.04053, 200.232123, 156.3242,...}, and I would like to bin these values and display them as a histogram ...
6
votes
1answer
397 views

Speeding up the non-negativity algorithm for multilinear function with interval probabilities?

The algorithm is a branch-and-bound algorithm that calculates the non-negativity of a multilinear function with interval probabilities. The lines 9-11 has an optimization that is explained on the 10-...
3
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4answers
308 views

Descriptive statistics of two events

I am trying to use the descriptive statistics feature of Mathematica to answer the following question: suppose I have two events, A and B, whose occurrence is described by a normal distribution around ...
0
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1answer
240 views

No Tukey Test on ANOVA package

I'm trying to use the ANOVA package and have mathematica display the Tukey PostTest, but all I get is this: ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

Solving derivative of cumulative normal distribution log likelihood

I am a newbie and I'm trying to use Mathematica to obtain the symbolic Maximum Likelihood Estimation for a cumulative normal distribution. So far I have reached the step where I have the derivative of ...
10
votes
1answer
3k views

Multinomial logistic regression

Has anyone done multinomial logistic regression in Mathematica? The binomial case is essentially done on the LogitModelFit documentation page and works fine. I am ...
6
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2answers
2k views

Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function

I have a data set of the form $d=\{(y_1,x_1),(y_2,x_2)...(y_n,x_n)\}$ for a large $n$. A non-parametric plot of this data (a scatter plot where all observations are sorted along $x$ and joined with a ...
12
votes
5answers
876 views

How do I solve this probability problem with Probability?

Consider a stick of length 1. Pick two points uniformly at random on the stick, and break the stick at those points. What is the probability that the three segments obtained in this way form a ...
1
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1answer
171 views

PDF on TransformedDistribution of two BinomialDistribution too slow

I'd been doing my own convolutions of distributions for some calculations, decided to use built-ins. With ...
7
votes
3answers
12k views

How to use a 3×3 covariance matrix to plot an error ellipsoid?

I have a 3×3 error covariance in Mathematica, but I don't know how to use it for plotting the error ellipsoid. It would be great if you can show me how I can do that for the below covariance matrix: <...
4
votes
2answers
367 views

EmpiricalDistribution for Gini Coefficient Runs Slow

I am repurposing code that I found in this blog post (http://datavoreconsulting.com/sports/gini-coefficients-and-the-olympic-medal-race/) to generate the Gini coefficient for other data sets I am ...
1
vote
2answers
1k views

Cumulative frequency plot

I have the following data: data = {{0, 0}, {20, 1.4}, {25, 9.8}, {30, 32.2}, {35, 38.2}, {40, 15.6}, {45, 2.7}, {50, 0.1}}; where the second coordinates are ...
4
votes
3answers
2k views

Graphical Plots of PDF and CDF

I have a joint density and distribution function that I want to plot in a meaningful way, (i.e., want to be able to see how the functions behaves as changes in x and y happen simultaneously. If ...
18
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3answers
2k views

What is the average of rolling two dice and only taking the value of the higher dice roll?

I am referencing to this question on mathunderflow: What is the average of rolling two dice and only taking the value of the higher dice roll? Now I tried: ...
4
votes
1answer
497 views

ConditionalEntropy and Statistics`Library`NConditionalEntropy

There is a function available from the Statistics`Library context called NConditionalEntropy that appears to compute ConditionalEntropy. Thus ... ...
5
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2answers
2k views

Plotting 2D Data with Categorical Data in One of the Dimensions

I have a 2D data set in the form of: data={{Category, Integer}, {Category, Integer},{Category, Integer}...} It is a pretty simple data set with four categories ...
21
votes
2answers
1k views

Efficient Generation of Random Variates from a Copula Distribution

I have a 7-asset portfolio for which I want to simulate daily log-deltas using a Student T copula. The marginal distributions are all either Stable or TsallisQGaussian. Using NMaximize, I have ...
3
votes
1answer
617 views

My Data has negative and positive numbers, can I still use it to get the PDF?

I have data that reflects the arrival time of a flight. {3, -2, 16, 13, -6, 5, 4, -7, 7, 0……..n} this is for 8:45am and has 150 elements "arrivals" The positive values represent the time in minutes ...
7
votes
1answer
396 views

Obtaining standardised regression coefficients

Regression coefficients are the constant that indicate the rate of change in one variable as a function of change in another. Standardised regression coefficients are the same, but refer to a change ...