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The command ARProcess requires that the input term $e_t$ be a zero mean white noise with a specified variance. What you are trying to do is to have your input term be $10+e_t$ which is clearly not zero mean. What you can do is to change variables. In your case, if you define a new process $z_t=y_t - 25$ then it will be the same as the $y_t$ process. To see ...


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Here's a guess at what you're after: SeedRandom[1]; data = Accumulate[RandomReal[{-0.2, 0.2}, 300]]; thirds = Partition[data, 100]; interps = Interpolation /@ thirds; myplot = ListLogLinearPlot[thirds]; DynamicModule[{pos = MapThread[{Log@#, #2[#]} &, {{5, 16, 50}, interps}]}, LocatorPane[ Dynamic[pos, (pos = MapThread[ Function[{pt, ...



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