Questions about performing probabilistic calculations, especially those concerned with the Mathematica commands Probability, Expectation and the various functions related to distributions such as NormalDistribution, CDF, PDF etc.

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2answers
370 views

PDF of binomial distribution and mixed binomial distribution

I want to plot the PDF of binomial distributed function and a mixed binomial distributed function, therefore I entered for the binomial distribution function the following: ...
5
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0answers
182 views

Speeding up multilinear PRA branch-and-bound algorithm with worst-case exponential time scenario with respect to basic events

The algorithm is a branch-and-bound algorithm that calculates dominances for PRA, probalistic risk assessment. The task was to find faster ways to do it in numerical software such as Matlab but we ...
3
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0answers
97 views

What can I do to improve the performance of my calculations?

I'm trying to express a simple probability problem in Mathematica, but am having trouble getting my calculations to execute at a reasonable speed. I have an object whose unknown location is modeled ...
3
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0answers
141 views

Markov Chain for combined events?

I was wondering how to apply Markov steady-state chains to a simple case in genetics, eye colour. Assuming the probabilities of being brown, green or blue eyed, given your parents were a certain ...
3
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0answers
98 views

ProbabilityDistribution PDF on boundary points

I would like to evaluate the PDF of a custom ProbabilityDistribution at the min and max values. However, PDF[...] returns 0 at ...
2
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0answers
60 views

Converting problem into form involving Probability

I want to solve the following problem symbolically, using Probability: What is the probability of the first random variate of a set to be present more than ...
2
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0answers
496 views

Calculate variance of random walk?

How can I symbolically calculate the variance of the following random walk in Mathematica? Given several discrete random variables such that $p(Z_i=1-2k)=p$, where $k$ is a small real number, and ...
1
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0answers
66 views

Slow mixture fitting when having ill-conditioned covariance matrices. How to make it faster?

I'm using Mathematica 9.0 to fit multidimensional observations with a gaussian mixture. To do so I first adapted these steps to ensure that the mixture parameters are well defined (see ...
1
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0answers
136 views

When are `If`, `Piecewise`, `Switch`, and `Which` interchangeable and when are they not?

Experimenting with joint dependent distributions via the TransformedDistribution function, I used the following to derive a distribution where the second variate is ...
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0answers
68 views

Constrained maximum likelihood

Trying to solve a MLE with nonlinear constraints that need to be satisfied. However, the given solution do not match the constraints. Am I doing it correctly? ...
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0answers
89 views

Probability Model

I have the following probability model: $(X_k|\text{ PastHistory}_{k-1}, \theta_0, \theta_1, \theta_2) \sim (\pi\cdot N(\theta_1+\theta_0\cdot X_{k-1},1)+(1-\pi)\cdot N(\theta_2+\theta_0\cdot ...
0
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0answers
112 views

Discrete distribution binomial set up

I hope one of you guys can help me out. I am trying to visualize a discrete distribution based on a binomial distribution and a mixed binomial distribution. In the first step I started to determine ...
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0answers
48 views

Determine appropriate initial conditions for exit time

These are some constants: ...
0
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0answers
48 views

Identify columns of a huge matrix just polynomially many rows chosen at random

I am interested in the following problem in combinatorics $\Cap$ Probability. Let $\lambda \in \mathbb{N}$ be a parameter. Consider a matrix of $2^\lambda$ rows and $2^\lambda$ columns. Each column ...
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0answers
120 views

My algorithm produces too many permutations

Imagine the following problem. A population of size $n$ consists of $i$ men and $n-i$ women. The population goes to the casino. Call $g_m$ ,$g_w$ the amount of money won by men and women respectively. ...
0
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0answers
114 views

Plotting a mixture CDF with a truncated distribution in version 7

I'd like to plot the CDF of the following pdf in Mathematica 7: $$f(x)=0.1 g(x)+0.85 m(x)+0.05 h(x)$$ where $$ \begin{array}{ccl} g(x)&:&P(0)=1,\ P(x\neq 0)=0\\ ...